Welcome to the final version of my 2013 Philadelphia Eagles mock draft. If you want to know exactly what the Eagles will do tonight and over the next few days, be sure to keep reading…
<pause for laughter>
Mock drafts are like hot chicks with no brains — fun to look at but you can’t take them seriously.
However, they offer fun things to debate and discuss while at the same time are a test in how well you think you know your team. This year, the challenge is different on two fronts…
One, the Eagles hold a top-5 pick in a draft that has been called the strangest in years. No elite quarterbacks or skill players, and as Chip Kelly put it, no “can’t miss prospects.”
Two, this is the first draft under Kelly and an entirely new offensive and defensive scheme. We have no past precedent or familiarity with how the new regime operates. The only exception is Howie Roseman…we know how he operates and he loves to wheel and deal.
With that said, we can only go by the little tidbits of information offered up here and there by Kelly and Roseman along with rumors from various sources. Then, we try to apply that to what we perceive as the biggest needs for the team.
So, let’s start with some of those tidbits…
- There was Kelly’s comment about no can’t-miss prospects.
- Per Jeff McLane’s NFL sources, the Eagles are actively looking to trade down.
- Roseman said the pass-rushers are at the top of the draft this year and will go quickly.
- Kelly prefers “long” players because “big people beat up little people.”
- Kelly strongly prefers versatile, athletic players.
- They finally admitted that they will be running a 3-4 base defense but will also include a hybrid 4-3.
There were other things like Jeff Lurie making the trip to see Geno Smith (a show of strong interest, due diligence or smokescreen?) and Roseman talking about the strength of the offensive linemen and safeties in this draft.
What does all this mean?
That’s anyone’s guess, but here’s mine…
The Eagles want to move down in this draft. That may be stating the obvious, but I honestly think that is their first choice, regardless of who is on the board at No. 4. Unfortunately, they can’t just call some team and make a deal.
The deal has to be right and fair, they can’t just give the fourth overall pick away. And with all the chatter about multiple teams wanting to move down, it may be difficult to find a deal.
With that said, I also think that pick No. 4 will be the first hot-spot for teams wanting to move up. So, if a deal is to be made, I think the bargaining will really heat up when the Eagles are on the clock.
The comment Roseman made about the pass rushers being at the top is true. There is a steep drop-off after the first group. If they want a good one, they’ll have to spend their first round pick on one.
With the offensive line having good depth in this draft, that means the Eagles think they can wait until after the first round to address that area. Plus, if they feel Danny Watkins will turn things around, it lessens the urgency to take an OT in Round 1.
Now, with all that said, here is how I see Round 1 playing out for the Eagles…
The first three picks will be: Eric Fisher, Luke Joeckel and Sharrif Floyd. The Eagles will start getting phone calls with the top two teams wanting to trade up being the Browns and Jets.
The Jets will offer their second-rounder while Cleveland only offers up a third. Therefore, the Eagles trade back with New York to pick No. 9 and acquire the Jets’ second-rounder.
The Jets take QB Geno Smith at pick 4. Picks 5 through 8 then go like this…
- Detroit: Ziggy Ansah
- Cleveland: Dee Milliner
- Arizona: Lane Johnson
- Buffalo: Ryan Nassib
With the 9th pick in the 2013 NFL Draft, the Philadelphia Eagles select:
DE/OLB Dion Jordan, Oregon
To me, Jordan just makes too much sense. No matter what way I look at it, he is the perfect pick here in terms of need, value and scheme fit. I’m sure you’ve read about him multiple times so I won’t get into all his details.
If the Eagles can’t trade down, he’s their pick at No. 4 as well. The only way he shouldn’t be the pick is if he’s already gone, or Chip Kelly knows something about him that we don’t.
Jordan fits all of the above informational tidbits. He’s long, athletic, versatile and a top pass-rusher in the draft. The “projection” aspect of him is the only reason he drops to pick 9, but with Kelly, there is no projection…he knows him.
This scenario is probably just me dreaming, but that’s my guess and I’m sticking to it, damn it!
And by the way, if you happened to see Mike Mayock’s newly released mock draft and noticed some similarities to my first nine picks, that is completely coincidental…I assure you. I actually did this mock early yesterday in order to post it today and had not seen his mock yet.
If you haven’t seen Mayock’s mock, check it out right here.
For the rest of my mock draft, I will not include any further trades…although I’m sure there will be more wheelin’ and dealin’ with Howie.
2. OT Justin Pugh, Syracuse
2. (from trade) TE Gavin Escobar, SDSU
3. CB David Amerson, North Carolina State
4. QB Matt Scott, Arizona
5. DT Kwame Geathers, Georgia
7. DE Joe Kruger, Utah
7. S Cooper Taylor, Richmond
7. DT Quinton Dial, Alabama
7. RB Knile Davis, Arkansas
General reasoning for my picks…
As I said above, Jordan is the perfect pick for the Eagles in Round 1. The next closest perfect match would be OT Lane Johnson, whom I could also see the Eagles selecting.
They have to address the OL early, but I believe they’ll wait until Round 2, especially if they pick up an extra second-rounder in a trade.
I think Kelly definitely wants another big, athletic TE that he can line up anywhere.
They have to address the secondary by Round 3, whether it’s at safety or corner.
Kelly will take a QB in this draft. If he can’t get Scott in Round 4, look for Zac Dysert to be taken there. I wouldn’t be surprised if Kelly pulls the trigger on Scott in Round 3, though I wouldn’t agree with it.
The late rounds is when I see the Eagles addressing their needs for 5-tech DE’s and depth at nose tackle. If Cooper Taylor is still there, I think he could be a surprise…and intriguing…pick.
This is going to be an interesting draft to say the least. Draft Day is finally here, let’s do this thing!